When managers actually move
Premier League team sheets are published 75 minutes before kickoff. If managers were reacting to them, you would see it in the clock. You do.
Every pickup, binned by how long before the player's own kickoff it was made. The distribution is two-humped: a large mid-week mass, then a spike jammed against the lock.
Nothing is different about those five gold minutes except that the teams have just been published.
| Window | Pickups | Share |
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After the announcement everyone has the same information, so speed can only be a queue advantage. Among pickups that produced a starter, here is what each window got, and what share of the players actually available at that moment it represented.
Managers who can see the lineups still pick close to randomly from what is on the shelf. The information tells them that a player is starting, not which starter is best.